Brazil Fertilizer Production 2036: Demand and Supply Targets
Brazil fertilizer production 2036 has become a central theme in the country’s agriculture strategy. Officials project that demand will climb to 73 million tonnes annually by 2036, compared with 58.5 million tonnes in 2030. To meet part of this rising need, the government and industry are driving billions in new fertilizer projects.
Brazil Fertilizer Demand Forecast 2036
The Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock (MAPA) expects fertilizer demand to grow steadily. Expanding soybean, maize, and sugarcane production will fuel consumption. By 2036, total demand could reach 73.1 million tonnes per year, making Brazil one of the world’s largest fertilizer markets.
Yellow line: Brazil’s domestic fertilizer production goal — from 7.21 million tonnes in 2024 to 19.6 million tonnes by 2030.
Red dashed line: Brazil’s projected fertilizer demand — rising from 58.5 million tonnes in 2030 to 73.1 million tonnes by 2036.
Brazil Fertilizer Projects 2030: 67 Investments Worth BRL 24.4 Billion
Momentum is building across the sector. According to S&P Global, 67 fertilizer projects worth about BRL 24.4 billion (USD 4.6 billion) are in the pipeline. These initiatives aim to raise local output from 7.21 million tonnes in 2024 to 19.6 million tonnes by 2030. The plan will improve self-sufficiency from 17% to 35%.
Petrobras Fertilizer Plants Restart and Nitrogen Expansion
Energy giant Petrobras plans to restart two idled nitrogen fertilizer plants in Bahia and Sergipe. The facilities, leased to Unigel in the past, have remained closed since 2023 due to high gas costs. Their return could add much-needed ammonia and urea capacity to the domestic market.
Brazil Potash and Phosphate Investment Plans
Potash and phosphate are also in focus. Brazil Potash is advancing mine development supported by new offtake deals. In phosphates, SSP and DAP processing projects are moving ahead. Mosaic plans to expand blending capacity in northern Brazil, targeting an additional 500,000 tonnes annually.
Fertilizer Self-Sufficiency Goals and Import Dependence
Despite strong momentum, Brazil will still depend on imports. Natural gas prices — around USD 14–15 per million BTU compared with USD 2.5–3 in the U.S. — keep nitrogen output costly. Companies are urging faster licensing and targeted tax relief to support competitiveness.
Outlook: Can Brazil Meet Its Fertilizer Needs by 2036?
By 2030, Brazil fertilizer production 2036 targets aim for 19.6 million tonnes, while demand will already exceed 58.5 million tonnes. By 2036, demand could hit 73 million tonnes, leaving imports to cover the shortfall. Programs like Gas for Employment, supported by private investments, will determine how much of the demand local plants can meet.
For farmers, the plan promises stronger supply security. For exporters, Brazil will remain a vital market, but local production is set to grow.
